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A Change for the Duck Hunter
courtesy of Delta Waterfowl

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service announced that it will be discontinuing the use of the current Fall Flight Index, stating "the utility of this index has been called into question." The accuracy and misuse of the index as an actual population number had been raising the ire of duck hunters in all flyways. The Fall Flight Index was 105 million in 1999 and 90 million in 2000. The 105 million was the highest number generated since the forecast began in 1970.

Delta Waterfowl, the source of much of this "question," has been urging the Service to come up with a more biologically based and reliable way to give duck hunters an idea of what to expect. It wrote in a letter to Jon Andrew, Chief of the Migratory Bird Office, "The Delta Waterfowl Foundation requests your consideration for a change in the development and use of the Fall Flight Index (FFI). There is a growing level of discontent in this figure and we feel strongly that a different approach is needed."

One of the most serious misuses of the figure is that although it is an index, how one year compares to the next, it was being used as an actual indication of how many real ducks were in the fall flight. According to Delta Waterfowl Vice President Lloyd Jones, "The FFI was being grossly misrepresented, even by some in the waterfowl community. There are not 105 or even 90 million ducks. For example a reasonable growth rate is applied to the spring breeding numbers the results reflect, there are 50-60 million at best, half of what some have been reporting. The FFI was misleading duck hunters, creating expectations that were unrealistic and eroding duck hunter confidence in waterfowl managers. It needed to be changed."

Jones was complimentary of the Service. "This decision of the Service is clearly a reflection of its interest and commitment to waterfowlers. It recognized the problem and is attempting to fix it. Jon Andrew and his staff have a large, complex and challenging task in all of their responsibilities with waterfowl. They made an important and bold move on behalf of duck hunters by committing to change the current forecast process."

The Service is working on alternatives to the FFI. Delta Waterfowl has made several recommendations to the Service ranging from using an annual production forecast to using mallards, a species with the most data, as an indicator on the status of all species.

Delta Waterfowl
1-888-987-3695
www.deltawaterfowl.org

 

 
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